Saturday, December 28, 2013

The Complete A-Rod Saga

Chasing A-Rod


The struggle between Major League Baseball and one of its greatest hitters over steroids is total war—fought with six-figure payoffs in the tanning salons and strip malls of South Florida.


I first met Alex Rodriguez at the Delano, the chic South Beach hotel in his hometown of Miami. In the rear of the outdoor restaurant where I waited, a towering white curtain substituted for a wall—like the curtain of a theater. Rodriguez entered stage right, his chin tucked into his chest to avoid recognition, wearing a dark-navy tracksuit and sneakers. He sat down and looked at me brightly—his eyes are a startling hazel. He was oddly upbeat given his current situation, fighting for his professional life after Major League Baseball accused him of using performance-enhancing drugs and suspended him for 211 games, a penalty that could very well end his career.

The drama had made him both combative and reflective. He recalled that when he played on the national youth team, a Major League scout approached him. “I’ll never forget what he said to me,” Rodriguez said. “ ‘If you don’t fuck this up, son, you’ll be the first pick.’ ” He had just finished his junior year of high school. “It kind of paralyzed me a little bit.” On the same trip, the same day, he recalled, he met Scott ­Boras, the superagent, who told Rodriguez he wanted to represent him when he was ready to go professional. “I’m like, ‘What? What are you talking about?’ And from that day forward, my life’s been kind of different.” Later, Boras helped negotiate the contract that made him the highest-paid player in the history of baseball.

The story A-Rod tells about himself is one of damage amid enormous success, of someone who closed himself off, a kid with an absent father who missed his adolescence and young-adulthood while pursuing a singular dream. In our conversations, he mentioned his age—38—several times. He’s obviously exhausted; whatever happens, a page is being turned. “It’s a game that just takes so much out of you. Every aspect of your life has to be very narrow, very focused. Everything else has to go away. And because of that, I think it’s obviously not healthy.” He was quick to add: “The last thing I’m looking for is sympathy.”

The subtext, unspoken but ever present, is that A-Rod knows chapter and verse what sportswriters and fans and sometimes teammates and coaches have said about him: “A selfish prick,” as one member of his entourage put it. By this point, it’s a voice in his head. He’s spent the last few years thinking about it, evaluating his flaws as a human being, wondering what his role in the creation of his image has been, and hoping that it can be undone.

For all the attorneys and corporate interests and publicists and vast sums of money at stake, the surprising thing about the A-Rod scandal is how personal it is. Rob Manfred, the COO of Major League Baseball, has called A-Rod “tarnished” and privately fumed that he had “besmirched” baseball. In Cooperstown for the Hall of Fame–induction weekend, Bud Selig, the commissioner of Major League Baseball, was heard saying that he hated A-Rod and was going to enjoy ejecting him from baseball, according to one news report. (MLB denies Selig mentioned Rodriguez.) A-Rod’s own team seems disgusted with him. Brian Cashman, the Yankees general manager, possibly not unhappy to rid himself of Rodriguez’s huge contract, said in public last summer that A-Rod should “shut the fuck up.”

Epic as it’s been, there’s a pettiness and a tactical ugliness to the struggle, along with a roster of hustlers out of an Elmore Leonard novel. Cars were burglarized; secret films were made and sold. Whatever its results, the investigation of Alex Rodriguez will have tainted everyone it touched.

The largest drug scandal in the history of baseball started over $4,000. The money was a debt owed to Porter Fischer, a steroid user who was involved with the South Florida clinic known as Biogenesis, through which Rodriguez is alleged to have procured his performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs). ­Fischer, well built and extravagantly tanned, possessed many large ideas about his future, which reality seemed determined to frustrate. He’d bounced around with little purpose, from managing a theme park to a couple of years at National Tobacco, until he was fired for selling samples on eBay. Lately, he had been describing himself as a freelance marketer and lived in a guesthouse in his mother’s backyard.

Then, one day in March 2011, Fischer’s luck changed. He was hit by a car, and not just any car—it was a Jaguar. Injuring his knee, he received a settlement of $35,000, after which he started telling people, “I came into a little money.”

Fischer (who through a lawyer declined to comment for this article) spent a surprising amount of his cash at tanning salons. He liked a spray-on tan. “Some people like to paint, some people like origami; I enjoy tanning. I’ll take the jokes,” he told a friend. For a time, his favorite was Boca Tanning Club in Coral Gables, owned by a former New Yorker named Pete Carbone. It was there that Fischer met the pivotal player in the A-Rod drama, Tony Bosch, or Dr. Tony Bosch, as he called himself, though it would turn out he wasn’t licensed to practice medicine. Bosch worked at an anti-aging clinic in the back of Carbone’s salon. Fischer decided to give it a try. He told Bosch that he was feeling a middle-aged sag: lack of energy, weight gain. Is this all there is? he wondered.

“Where do you want to be?” asked Bosch, according to the Miami New Times.

“Well, in a perfect world, I’d like a Stallone body,” Fischer said.

“We can get you there,” Bosch told him. For $300 or so a month, Bosch had him on a program that included human growth hormone and testosterone.

Fischer was ecstatic with the results. In a matter of months, he dropped more than 40 pounds and acquired a newly chiseled physique. He was by nature an enthusiast, and was so pleased with Bosch’s treatments that he wanted to work for him. By then, Bosch had relocated his operation to a strip mall. That’s around the time Fischer tried to persuade Bosch to hire him as marketing director—Bosch, after all, didn’t even have a sign on the door. Fischer, not one to keep such things quiet, also mentioned the windfall he’d received. Bosch didn’t think he needed a marketing director, but he agreed to let Fischer work in his office as essentially an unpaid intern. He was interested in Fischer for something else. Bosch was experiencing a “slight cash-flow issue,” and asked Fischer to lend him some money. Fischer, eager to please, wrote him a check for $4,000, which Bosch promised to repay in biweekly installments and with interest.

Bosch made two payments but then stopped. He claimed he didn’t have the money, and seemed to enjoy rubbing it in. “I’m Dr. Tony Bosch,” he told Fischer. “What are you going to do about it?”

One reason Bosch didn’t want a marketing director may have been that he didn’t exactly want to be noticed. “He was always trying to fix his life,” says Bosch’s first wife, Tiki Rodriguez (no relation to Alex). Then one day he stumbled onto a particularly rich clientele. A sports agent came to him. He had a ballplayer who was about to become a free agent, and his performance was way off. Bosch looked at his blood work. It was obvious he was using banned substances; he was just using them wrong. Bosch adjusted the schedule, and the guy started smacking the ball. And, as important, he avoided detection. Bosch boasted that he was 30 years ahead of the drug testers.

Suddenly, athletes were knocking at the door. Athletes paid more—sometimes ten times as much as regular patients. Bosch prided himself on a certain ethical flexibility: If they want to take banned substances, that’s on their head.

Bosch’s brush-off infuriated Fischer, who still had the run of the Biogenesis office. He became obsessed with revenge. “It was then I started collecting the documents,” Fischer said. Among the first items he stole were Bosch’s personal notebooks.

At first, Fischer didn’t have anything specific in mind for the four black-and-white composition notebooks. Then, flipping through them, he recognized a few names from among the hundreds listed. He wasn’t a baseball fan, but even he had heard of Alex Rodriguez, one of twenty Major League ballplayers who MLB later said were linked to the clinic. Fischer walked his trove into the Miami New Times, a free weekly newspaper whose parent company also owns The Village Voice. Reporters spent months corroborating the contents. Before publishing on January 29, the paper called subjects for reaction, which is when Fischer’s life began to blow up. He hadn’t taken into account the damage he could do to people’s reputations—not just those of ballplayers, but of coaches, trainers, hangers-on, and tough guys, at least some of them on steroids.

Fischer has said he got a phone call from Carbone, his friend from Boca Tanning Club.

“You’re in danger,” Carbone shouted into the phone. “You’re going to be killed.” That was the word “on the street,” Carbone said.

Carbone drove to Fischer’s house. Fischer hid in a Honda parked in the driveway, afraid that Carbone intended to do the job himself. He had his own gun loaded and cocked. But Carbone was there to talk.

“What do you really want?” Carbone shouted at Fischer, as if inviting him to name a figure.

“I want the fucker to pay for fucking me over. I want my fucking money back.”

“I can do that,” said Carbone. Fischer went to his closet, dug under a pile of clothes, fished out the notebooks, and handed them to Carbone.

The next day at the tanning club, Carbone gave Fischer $4,000.

For Major League Baseball, the New Times bombshell was an epic embarrassment. Bud Selig, 79, who earns a superstar’s salary of $22 million a year as commissioner, hoped to be remembered as the guy who, in his twenty-plus-year reign, cleaned up baseball through an aggressive drug-testing program—not the one who’d presided over the “steroids era” of Barry Bonds, Mark McGwire, and others, during which one congressman called for Selig’s resignation. Yet none of the fourteen players later suspended had tested positive for banned substances. There was no way to undo the harm of the lax testing, but a vigorous investigation followed by harsh sanctions might cauterize the problem and safeguard at least some of his legacy. And Rodriguez, with all his flaws and his huge contract and, MLB believed, his constant violations, was an inviting target.

The New Times story offered a road map, but it would mean little without the notebooks themselves. Selig dispatched the head of his investigations unit, a former New York City cop named Dan Mullin, who had a team of a dozen investigators working for him, along with local private detectives.

Some witnesses were offered six-figure sums for information or documents—Carbone said he was offered $200,000. If money didn’t work, tougher tactics were tried. One of Rodriguez’s trainers, Bruli Medina Reyes, initially said he saw someone inject Rodriguez with drugs but later repudiated his statement, maintaining that MLB investigators had threatened him by suggesting that his visa to the United States would be in danger if he didn’t work with them. Patrick Houlihan, a lawyer for MLB, called up one potential witness, Marcelo Albir, and left a voice-mail: “We may need to involve law enforcement.” And Mullin even slept with one potential witness, according to the witness. (Rodriguez’s attorneys later paid $105,000 for text messages between Mullin and the witness.)

For all the bullying, by mid-February, MLB wasn’t any closer to the notebooks. Then the phone rang. It was Fischer. He had a copy of the notebooks on a flash drive—and it might be available.

Fischer wanted to change his life, and why shouldn’t he benefit from the commotion he’d started? “All I know is there’s a lot of people making fucking money,” he complained to several people.

In the back of an SUV, an investigator handed Fischer an envelope with $5,000 in cash in return for a sample of the documents. Fischer wasn’t impressed. “I wanted fucking out of it,” he told a friend. He wanted to disappear, start over. In the next few months, he started drinking heavily, holed up in the guesthouse. He wanted a new home and thought he would get help setting up a tanning business. Major League Baseball’s offer eventually climbed to $125,000, and there was vague talk of a job. But Fischer was offended by these blandishments—what was offered wasn’t enough to protect him.

Fuck you, he thought. He rejected the $125,000 offer, after which Mullin stopped calling.

When the New Times story broke, Rodriguez was in the early stages of rebranding, beginning to look beyond baseball—and beyond his tabloid ubiquity—to another kind of life. He was impressed by figures like Magic Johnson, who’d transformed his basketball genius into enlightened moguldom. A-Rod was already a philanthropist, spreading his wealth around South Florida, where he’d grown up. He’d given $1 million to the Miami-Dade Boys and Girls Club, whose couch he slept on as a kid while waiting for his mother to get off her second job, and $3.9 million to the University of Miami to rebuild a baseball field he’d snuck into as a kid. But A-Rod got little credit for his generosity. The media in fact reported that he was stingy.

And so he’d taken meetings with L.A. public-relations man Mike Sitrick, whose specialty is “reputation enhancement” and who’d done work for Rodriguez’s friend Kobe Bryant, among other clients. Like Bryant, Rodriguez faced another reputational challenge: messy and very public marital discord. Sitrick suggested to Rodriguez that he might be repositioned as someone with broad interests and wide-ranging successes off the field—people might like to know that he’s an art collector, for instance, and a very successful businessman.

Rodriguez wasn’t like his buddy Jay Z, whose investments bring as much glamour as wealth. Rodriguez had always run scared; he figured he was one twisted ankle away from unemployment. “Signing my contract when I was 17 years old at the Grand Bay Hotel of Miami,” he said, “I knew that day that the end was close.” For A-Rod, business was a hedge. “Eventually, my W-2 income will wind down, and my investments can actually make that up.”

Rodriguez was a cautious, deliberate businessman who went into decidedly unglamorous businesses—gyms, car dealerships, low-end real estate. He was dully practical—“very slow, very methodical, very boring, one step at a time,” he explained to me. “There’s nothing wrong with a 6 percent yield when you’re making good W-2 income.” The real-estate company he founded in the mid-aughts, Newport Property Ventures, owns 6,000 rental units (and manages an additional 6,000), which throws off substantial income. Altogether, Rodriguez earns as much as $20 million a year from non-baseball sources.

More and more, A-Rod thought of himself as a businessman as well as a ballplayer. As he barnstormed the country with one baseball team or another, he reached out to CEOs, who were his idols. “They want to talk to me about baseball,” he said. “I want to talk to them about business.” Rodriguez dined with Howard Schultz, CEO of Starbucks, and golfed with Bill Gates, and when his contract talks with the Yankees stalled in 2007, he phoned his friend Warren Buffett for advice—Buffett told him to deal directly; he did, signing for $275 million.

Sitrick’s firm proposed reaching out to business magazines for a possible cover, an idea A-Rod liked.

And then the story broke, and his priorities abruptly shifted. Sitrick advised him to take the high road, issuing a few lawyerly statements. But Rodriguez was seething.

In South Florida, MLB was frustrated. Investigators were still pounding on doors, but the holy grail of the notebooks was eluding them. Then a guy calling himself “Bobby from Boca” phoned MLB headquarters. He had a flash-drive copy of the notebooks, too.

Bobby’s real name is Gary Jones. He turned out to be the most important middleman in the whole affair—a South Florida Sydney Greenstreet in Casablanca. He met me at a Starbucks in Deerfield, outside of Boca Raton. He’s a big man, six-two, 285, with thick hands and a head the size of a car battery. He was dressed in a faded blue T-shirt and basketball shorts. The outfit and presentation are calculated, he told me in a gravelly voice.

“You don’t mind playing dumb,” I said.

“Complete idiot,” he said. Complete idiot. Being underestimated gives him an advantage, he thinks.

In fact, Jones is as crafty as they come. He’s a seasoned ex-con with an unerring instinct for maximizing an opportunity. He was proud of his bank-robbing feats, and mashed a finger into the table as he recounted them: “I got $262,000 from one bank and then, 24 hours later, $190,000 from another.” He backed his truck up to the wall. “I ripped out the night-deposit ­boxes. When it came off, the bags [of money] went everywhere.”

Jones retired from crime, he said, after spending three years in federal prison, and recently made a living in the tanning industry, which is how he met Porter Fischer, who’d been commiserating with him throughout the drama.

Jones almost felt sorry for Fischer. “He was stupid,” said Jones. “He didn’t know how to make money. That was ridiculous going to New Times.”

Jones said he “obtained” flash drives from Fischer, though Fischer doesn’t recall giving him one.

Jones had followed Fischer’s disastrous negotiations with MLB—and once they crashed, he leaped into the breach. He began by making a market. Bobby from Boca cold-called A-Rod’s camp, which wasn’t interested, nor was the “handler” of Ryan Braun, another player linked to Biogenesis. He even called the Baseball Hall of Fame, figuring he could sell the documents as memorabilia.

Then he reached MLB.

“A few hundred thousand isn’t going to hurt you,” Jones said. Mullin flew down from New York. They finally agreed on a price of $125,000, which Jones knew was what Fischer was offered. Jones wanted cash.

In March, Jones met Mullin at the Cosmos Diner on East Atlantic Boulevard in Pompano Beach. Jones and Mullin sat at a booth, Jones in his usual shorts. Mullin pushed a yellowish envelope across the table. Inside were $100 bills in bands of $1,000, which, in turn, were in bands of $10,000.

See paragraph 5 of Jones's affidavit here for more information on the stolen documents.
An MLB spokesman insisted its investigators didn’t know the documents were stolen. If that’s true, they were the only ones in South Florida who didn’t.

Jones, who has a flawless instinct for such things, knew that sliding cash across a table didn’t exactly look like the way an upstanding institution should do business. It was, in his mind, one more opportunity to be monetized. From a booth across the room, Jones had a buddy film the meeting on an iPhone, which he later sold to Rodriguez for $200,000, who planned to use it to focus attention on MLB’s tactics. (Rodriguez insisted that Jones fill out an IRS W-9 form.)

At Starbucks, I was listening to Jones’s tale of outmaneuvering just about everyone, missing my flight back to New York.

“I know the whole story,” Jones told me, but, of course, he’s not giving it away. “You should buy it from me,” he said.

“I can’t do that,” I told him.

He wasn’t upset. “I did pretty good already,” he said, and then drove off in his powder-blue vintage Mercedes.

The notebooks are strange documents. They’re written in blocky capital letters, a running stream of consciousness over four years, 2009 through 2012. In part, they’re a dream journal by a man with grandiose dreams. Bosch sketches out business plans one after another. He will go national, then global; he will open a chain of retail outlets that will stock his line of private-label products. He wants not only fortune—“a yacht” and “a plane”—but prestige. He imagines selling off an interest in the business to fund a stem-cell-research-and-therapy institute. He searches for the right title for himself. He lists “founder,” “chairman,” “CEO,” though in the end he goes with the more distinguished “physician scientist.” Of course, he is neither.

The pages are a place to dream big, but even here a meaner reality nips at his heels. Next to one business plan, Bosch listed personal problems to deal with: IRS, child support (which he was always behind on), smoking, finances in general. Indeed, most of the notebooks are about money he’s owed. They’re a running debt ledger, like a bookie might keep. There are lists of hundreds of names, each with a number next to it, the amount owed.

MLB was only interested in a small part of what Bosch had written. One page caught investigators’ attention. At the bottom of one lined page from 2012 is written the name “A-Rod.” Under it is the alleged protocol, which included what Bosch said were code words for HGH and other banned substances. But as tantalizing as that was, it didn’t mean anything. Maybe Bosch was listing Rodriguez the way he listed a yacht and a plane—things he’d like to have.

Without Bosch (who through a lawyer declined to comment for this article) to explain and authenticate the notebooks, they were useless against Rodriguez. Of course, if A-Rod could get Bosch to refute the charges, Major League Baseball’s case would disappear. So it was a race. The problem was that Bosch had disappeared.

By August, baseball had reached an agreement with thirteen other ballplayers whose names were linked to Biogenesis. They accepted suspensions of 50 to 65 games. But Selig had imposed a 211-game suspension on Rodriguez, claiming that he’d used the drugs for longer than the other players and also that he’d worked to “obstruct and frustrate” their investigation, though it wasn’t specified how. The suspension might end his career. And it would also be expensive. If he didn’t play, he’d potentially lose more than $30 million next season.

So, with little to lose, A-Rod chose to fight, assembling a squad of big-name lawyers. For lead litigator he chose Joe Tacopina, a fierce cross-­examiner who, as a college hockey player, had spent a lot of minutes in the penalty box. Tacopina et al. went to war, filing suit against MLB in October, accusing it of a “witch hunt.” For good measure, they sued a Yankees doctor for allegedly trying to ruin A-Rod’s playing career, accusing him of medical malpractice and lack of informed consent. Rodriguez replaced the restrained Sitrick with Berk Communications, a small shop founded by Ron Berkowitz, who’d come up through the celebrity and high-end-restaurant circuits but had a crucial advantage: Berk actually liked A-Rod. And then, as the last element of his dream team, Rodriguez signed up Andy O’Connell of Guidepost Solutions, which had helped clear the sexual-assault case against Dominique Strauss-Kahn by exposing the questionable background of his accuser.

O’Connell’s first task was to get to Bosch before MLB. Before he’d disappeared, Bosch seemed to be on Rodriguez’s side. He had released a statement through his lawyer denying that he’d given any banned substances to MLB players. If he’d sign an affidavit to that effect, it was game over.

Since his character is part of the story, Rodriguez wanted me to talk to a character witness, and his choice was an odd one: Cynthia, his ex-wife. “You’re going to love her. She’s an amazing lady. I love her to pieces,” he said, “and she’s one of my best friends.”

Cynthia met me in a cafĂ© in Coconut Grove and then a second time in the elegant though hardly ostentatious home she designed on Biscayne Bay. She’s not just toned but muscular, an attractive, petite blonde with smooth skin and piercing eyes and two bright diamond earrings. She met Rodriguez when he was 21 and she was 22. She wasn’t a sports fan. He told her he played baseball. “That’s great, but what do you really do?” she’d said. Cynthia is a traditional girl from a close-knit, religious family who lived a few blocks from her parents for a time—and she was a college graduate, which impressed Rodriguez. She’d earned a master’s degree in psychology and had practiced as a therapist.

She had every reason in the world to dislike Rodriguez. He’d humiliated her in the press; there were reports of Madonna and Rodriguez together shortly after the birth of their second child. But five years later—they divorced in 2008—she simply said, “I was disappointed.” She still esteems him. In the aftermath of the separation, he was generous and thoughtful. “He really made sure that everything was taken care of,” she told me. “It was a very nurturing process.” For her, that wasn’t an exception. “I saw something in him that I still see in him, and what I see is still very good.”

But she also sees damage. She spooled out the now-familiar story as to its causes. His father left the family when Alex was 10; he lived with his mother and lost touch with his father. The absence of a father made him the man of the house, big pressure for a teenager. “I was in a full sprint to make sure my mother never worked again,” he said.

Rodriguez’s success added to the emotional distortion. “Everything was about growing him as a baseball player,” Cynthia said. “He wasn’t learning anything but how to hit the fastball.

“What happens to everything else? It’s stunted, completely.” Without an authority figure, he listened willy-nilly to the advice of whoever was with him at the time.

“I used to say to Alex, ‘Don’t you just know what to do? Don’t you just have that voice in your head that tells you?’ He said, ‘No. I don’t.’ I think, looking back, he was probably uncomfortable with his place in the world.”

Later, when their marriage was crumbling, Cynthia thought a lot about Rodriguez’s issues. One day, she ran into Cal Ripken, one of his baseball heroes and a friend.

“What is it about Alex that I’m not seeing?” she asked Ripken. “What is it that I don’t get?”

“Cynthia, let me tell you the problem,” he said, and told her a story. “I might be wearing a suit, and Alex will see me and say, ‘Cal, I love your suit. Where did you get that suit?’ Then somebody else might walk in the locker room, and they have a completely different kind of suit on. And Alex might say, ‘Hey, I love your suit.’

“Cynthia, he tries to please everyone. That’s the problem.”

Rodriguez would often be charged with insincerity, but Cynthia didn’t see it that way. “He’s trying to say the right thing, trying to fit in. I would say immature, not insincere.”

At the end of May, Team A-Rod got what seemed to be a crucial break. O’Connell’s people got a cryptic call. A man on the phone said Bosch wanted to meet. A rendezvous was set up at a restaurant in the lobby of the Fortune House, a condominium development.

At the appointed time, Bosch appeared. He looked a little bedraggled. He’d been staying at a hotel under an assumed name. O’Connell, a lean, shaven-headed former federal prosecutor, came armed with an affidavit asserting that Bosch hadn’t administered PEDs to Rodriguez, as he’d seemed to indicate in his carefully worded public statement issued through his lawyer five months earlier. O’Connell handed it across the table.

Bosch examined the document. He’d always wanted to be seen as a stand-up guy, not a rat. Earlier, Rodriguez had given him $25,000 to retain a lawyer, which looked suspicious to MLB, but Bosch was grateful. He felt he and A-Rod were in this together.

Now, however, Bosch was noncommittal. To O’Connell, he seemed to be feeling out the situation, pondering the amount a signature on the document might cost. “I lost a $5 million business,” Bosch said, “and I don’t have $125 million like a ballplayer.”

O’Connell told Bosch he wasn’t authorized to pay him anything but said he would take a request back to the lawyers. He pressed. “What do you want?”

Bosch was cagey and vague. “I got it, I figured it out. I’ll get back to you,” was all he said, and he left.

Now it was MLB’s turn, and Rob Manfred, a gap-toothed, intense, Harvard-trained lawyer, had come up with an ingenious stratagem to exert leverage. MLB sued Bosch (and several others) for “tortious interference.” By delivering performance-enhancing drugs to Major League players, the suit charges, Bosch had somehow interfered with MLB’s joint drug agreement. It was far-fetched, to say the least, but a brilliant tactical move.

Bosch had gotten the message from MLB, and it struck hard. He didn’t have the funds to contest a lawsuit. “You can’t fight Major League Baseball,” said a person close to him. “You have to deal.” And then, cunningly, MLB had sued Bosch’s brother as well, who had a lot to lose. A phone call was placed to MLB: Bosch wanted to come in from the cold.

Of course, his lawyer asked for money. Manfred told him he couldn’t pay for testimony. He could, though, offer other compensation. MLB dropped both Bosch and his brother from the lawsuit. Bosch also had concerns about his safety, and Manfred said MLB would pay for a security detail for a year, a commitment of over $800,000. MLB also agreed to pay his legal fees. Bosch had three lawyers, who earned more than $1 million from June to October, plus a PR person. For MLB, the price was worth it. They had their prize.

Meanwhile, more documents were floating around the tanning salons of South Florida, and Gary Jones was still working to monetize them. The last time he’d met Mullin at the Cosmos Diner, the investigator had mentioned that original documents would be worth a lot more than copies on a flash drive. Maybe ten times as much. Jones did the calculation: “A million dollars.”

One Sunday, Fischer was on his way to Ocala, where he’d stored originals of patient records and other documents taken from Bosch. He planned to turn them over to the state health department, which he’d persuaded to investigate Bosch.

Jones kept in touch with his hapless friend. To him, shoveling valuable documents to the health department was one more example of Fischer’s stupidity. That morning, when Jones checked in, Fischer mentioned his Ocala errand.

Jones knew just what buttons to push. He had a new spray-on tanning solution. “Hey, you need to try this new solution of mine. Great color,” Jones said.

On his way home, Fischer met Jones at a Boca tanning salon, where he tried the new solution. A half-hour or so later, Fischer came outside to find the trunk of his car pried open. Four boxes of documents had disappeared, along with a laptop and a handgun.

See paragraph 8 of Jones's affidavit here for more information.
About a week later, the ever-resourceful Jones ended up with the haul from Fischer’s car, though he wouldn’t say how. He called Mullin, who flew down. On April 16, Mullin slid another envelope across the table at the Cosmos Diner, this one containing $25,000 in cash. MLB again claimed not to know the documents were stolen, but the Boca police report of the break-in says that an investigator working for MLB had called about the incident before the payment.

Major League Baseball had no illusions about Tony Bosch. To start with, there was the fact that Dr. Tony Bosch was a liar. After all, he wasn’t a doctor—though it said he was on the white coat he wore to attend to patients. Bosch had spent a couple of years at a medical school in the Dominican Republic and finished at a medical school in Belize. He returned to Miami and, always in a hurry, jumped into the booming anti-aging business. Why worry about a license? “Tony always believed he was the smartest guy around,” said Tiki Rodriguez. In medicine, he believed he had “a gift,” she said. He told people he could look at their lab tests and into their eyes and know just what they needed. His confidence, along with results like Fischer’s, earned him a steady stream of clients.

And yet Bosch seemed to be constantly broke. “Live like a king, party like a rock star” was a personal motto, according to friends. “It’s Miami,” he liked to say. “My vice.” There were allegations of cocaine use—later, on the advice of counsel, he took the Fifth when asked about them. And then he was generous, one more thing he couldn’t control. There were, for instance, young girlfriends to be spoiled—he always had two, he told people. So money was always his paramount concern.

Once Bosch made his deal, MLB got more than testimony. Bosch turned over the BlackBerry with which he communicated with Rodriguez. Experts extracted the messages. Rodriguez’s team pointed out that the records were fraught with errors—there were three versions from different experts, and some had messages that didn’t appear on others and thus were unreliable.

The exchanges, though, were provocative. In 2012, Rodriguez and Bosch talked about “food.” Rodriguez said he needed pinks or blues or gummies. Bosch met him in Detroit, Tampa, and other places. “Hurry,” Rodriguez wrote at one point. Bosch promised to meet him for Opening Day and during a playoff series in which Rodriguez was underperforming.

The exchanges are tinged with anxiety. Rodriguez seems dependent on the food, viewing it almost as magic. On April 3, he feels “explosive.” “Awesome,” Bosch wrote back a few seconds later. “Go with the same protocol.” Rodriguez didn’t have a great year in 2012—he hit only eighteen home runs during the regular season (a portion of which he missed because of injury) and sometimes joked with friends, “If I was doing them, I should get a refund.” But that changed nothing for MLB. Bosch said that food was code for testosterone and HGH. Rodriguez insisted that food meant food—the kind of nutritional edge he pursued across the planet.

For MLB, two key exchanges refute that explanation.

On April 2, 2012, Bosch uses the term meds in a message to Rodriguez. “Not meds dude. food,” comes the reply a few minutes later. There are many ways to interpret those four words. In the view of MLB’s investigators, Rodriguez was reminding Bosch of their ruse. And for MLB, the clincher was an exchange the day before, on April 1, 2012. That morning, Bosch asked, “Do u think they are going to test?” “Maybe” is A-Rod’s response later that afternoon. But if they tested, Bosch had it covered. A-Rod texted to ask when he should use the “food”: 10:45 for a 1 p.m. game? “10:30,” replied Bosch, as if it is a science of minutes. Rodriguez claimed the close attention to timing was only because he wanted maximum effectiveness from the food at game time; Bosch said it was an effort to avoid detection.

In Detroit, Rodriguez took a urine test—and passed. In fact, he didn’t fail a drug test during the three years he’s accused of using banned substances. In the view of Rodriguez’s legal team, it’s evidence that he was clean. For Bosch, it simply was proof of how good he was.

Everyone knew that Alex Rodriguez had been a steroid user.

We were seated at a conference table in the sweeping, marble-floored offices of Reed, Smith, one of his law firms. Rodriguez was in a midnight-blue suit, with a white shirt and a narrow tie. He looked immaculate, as usual. He was lively and engaged, ever youthful, though there was stubble on his face and it was gray. We talked baseball, the mental game. “The more you play baseball, the less depends on your athletic ability,” Rodriguez explained. “It’s a mental war more than anything.” For all athletes, confidence is an issue, but more so for Rodriguez. “Alex is the most insecure,” Bosch said.

Rodriguez has spent a career worried about losing his edge and done everything possible to prevent that. He walked around the locker room with a mini-fridge slugging down green-colored shakes. He hired a performance coach, who worked on his focus. He traveled to Germany to have his blood enriched, which might help him rehab a bad knee and perhaps also to counter fatigue from 162 games. He reached out to Victor Conte, founder of the infamous Balco, the company at the center of the previous steroid scandal. Conte was back in the supplement business, this time on the right side of the law.

And, at least in one era, he did steroids.

At first, he’d denied it. On 60 Minutes in 2007, he looked Katie Couric in the eye and said, “I’ve never felt overmatched on the baseball field … so no.” Two years later, in 2009, following a press report that he’d failed a drug test in 2003, while on the Texas Rangers, he told a different story. He admitted that he and his cousin had bought over-the-counter drugs in the Dominican Republic. It was a different era; physicians recommended by the Players Association coached ballplayers on how to avoid detection. Rodriguez, who usually boasted of mastering details, said he didn’t know exactly what he was injecting. But Rodriguez knew he was crossing the line. “I knew we weren’t taking Tic Tacs,” he famously admitted. And his stats between 2001 and 2003 show a marked increase in power—he hit 57 home runs in 2002, a career high. But most important, he said he hadn’t used them since 2003. It was a difficult passage for A-Rod—but in 2009, his transgressions were mostly forgiven, if not forgotten. “I was hitting everything in sight,” he recalled. Led by Rodriguez, the Yankees won the World Series. “Thank God, otherwise I’d be under a bridge somewhere,” he told me.

It was past 7 p.m.—we’d been talking for an hour or more.

Why should anyone believe your denials this time? I asked him.

There were five seconds before he responded. “I’m not sure,” he said.

The secret arbitration hearing at which Rodriguez appealed his 211-game suspension took place at MLB headquarters on Park Avenue. Bosch had three security guards and three lawyers and a PR person; MLB had as many as nine lawyers; Rodriguez five. The hearing ended last week. By then, after two weeks of testimony, his legal team had given up hope of winning, despite vehemently denying that in the press. Their strategy by the end was to lay the groundwork for an appeal in federal court. They had been frustrated by the rules of evidence—or lack of rules. Hearsay, for instance, is permitted. And then hanging over the proceedings was a peculiarity of baseball’s arbitration system. If arbitrator Fredric Horowitz rules against MLB, it has the right to fire him; it fired an arbitrator in a similar situation last year. (The Players Association has the same right.)

Rodriguez was given ten days to present a defense, but cut it short after Horowitz ruled that Commissioner Selig didn’t have to testify. On hearing that, Rodriguez slammed his fist to the table and stormed out. “I thought I should get a chance to confront my accuser,” he told me. He had promised to testify the day after Selig. Instead, he took to the airwaves and denounced the hearing as a “farce,” then returned to South Florida to await the results. A ruling is expected later this month or early next year.

A week before his hearing, I’d met Rodriguez in the parking lot before a University of Miami football game—Rodriguez is on the UM board of trustees, and he plans to be a business student there. It was the tailgate party, and acres of cars had backed up to green-and-orange tents. Rodriguez showed up in his UM shirt and took a spot under the tent of his PR guy, a University of Miami alumnus. Word traveled quickly to the other tents, and fans, most of them excited young women, materialized, snapping photos with their smartphones and posting on Twitter or Instagram.

The new A-Rod is partly a media ­strategy. Good Morning America was there to record the good feeling. But Rodriguez was insistent that the changes are real.

“You think about 18, 28, 38,” he said. “Those are decades apart, and so much has changed. I’ve gotten so much more comfortable in our own clubhouse with my teammates.” He finally felt connected to other players—he’d recently vacationed with a few, including Robinson Cano and CC Sabathia.

The improved relationships are the result of an internal change. “I’m comfortable in my skin now,” he told me.

Horrible as it’s been, the scandal, and MLB’s hyperaggressive pursuit, have made him something he’s never been: an underdog. “Today, I was walking down the streets, and, I mean, literally, people were jumping out of their cabs, out of their Town Cars, out of their buses. Beeping, stopping. I shook a hundred hands. People were saying, ‘We’re behind you.’ Every guy was flying out of a window, ‘Go get ’em!!’ It was so emotional.”

He’s been a New York Yankee for ten years and hadn’t ever felt that kind of love. “No matter what I’ve done in baseball, including ’09 [and winning the World Series], it’s never felt like this. Never. Never.”

Monday, June 3, 2013

Facebook and the Rutgers Mess

Rutgers officials are having a bad year. It seems they have a communication problem in Piscataway. School officials and search committee members didn't know about a lot of things. Things like the pregnancy lawsuit at Tennessee, they had no idea Julie Hermann's former volleyball team wrote a letter alleging her abuse, and weren't made aware new men's coach Eddie Jordan never graduated from college. Oh, the higher-ups did know about the Mike Rice practice tapes, they just didn't act on them until they went public.

The whole thing is amazing and ironic to me. What are the odds that when a lunatic coach is exposed and fired, and the AD who tried to protect him is let go, we learn the coach's successor had not earned a degree and the AD's replacement once fired a coach after a sex discrimination complaint.

This Julie Hermann is something. As volleyball head coach at Tennessee her team wrote a letter to the AD claiming Hermann's treatment caused them to hate the sport. Her assistant coach sued her (and won) because Hermann threatened to fire her if she became pregnant. Then, as assistant AD at Louisville, she was again sued when it was alleged she fired an assistant track coach because she went to the university HR department to complain of discriminatory treatment from the head coach.

That's the ironic part, here is the amazing part. The dirt on Hermann came to light not from the vetting of the search committee but rather from reports in The Newark Star-Ledger. Craig Wolff broke the story of the dissatisfaction the '96-'97 team had with Hermann. Where was this first discussed? Get ready, it was from postings on FACEBOOK. Turns out when Hermann was named AD at Rutgers some of the former Vol players began facebooking each other with the news. Wolff then contacted the former players to get their story.

The twenty-six member search committee relied on Parker Executive Search Firm to identify candidates for the position. Parker claims it made Rutgers aware of the two lawsuits in which Hermann played a central role. But neither Rutgers nor Parker was aware of the two page letter that her players wrote in 1997, saying she abused them and forced the to "endure mental cruelty."

That was first reported by the Star-Ledger of Newark and thanks in no small part to FACEBOOK.

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Yankee DL Team Has Hefty Price Tag

As of this morning the Yankees have ten players on the Disabled List. That payroll is the 15th highest in baseball. Pretty amazing if you think about it. But what's more amazing is the fact that with what amounts to eight starters out of action, the Bombers are two games back and playing .600 ball. Credit to Cashman for filling the holes and to Girardi for pressing the right buttons. With thanks to my friends at the Low Hud Yankee Blog for some of the info, let's review who's out and who is replacing them:

Curtis Granderson
Broken forearm
Status: Playing in extended spring training
Replacement: Vernon Wells
There is at least a chance the Yankees would have traded for Wells even without the Granderson injury — would have been an upgrade over the outfield right-handed platoon options — but the Granderson injury is clearly the reason Wells has been playing everyday. And of all the Yankees replacements, Wells has been the clear standout. He’s been good enough that the Yankees have to strongly consider keeping him in the everyday lineup even after Granderson returns.

Mark Teixeira
Torn tendon sheath
Status: Just started batting practice
Replacement: Lyle Overbay
Signed at the very end of spring training, Overbay might not have been on the radar had Dan Johnson produced in big league camp. With Johnson having a horrible spring, though, the Yankees went looking for an experienced first baseman. Overbay has given the Yankees a steady glove at first, and he’s been terrific against right-handed pitching. Further injuries, though, have pushed him into an everyday role and he’s been awful against left-handers. Overall, for what he was signed to do, Overbay has been effective with a little more home run power than expected.

Derek Jeter
Broken ankle
Status: Inactive
Replacement: Eduardo Nunez/Ben Francisco
Nunez has taken Jeter’s playing time at shortstop, but it’s important to remember that Jeter was also supposed to get regular DH at-bats against left-handers. Essentially, he’s been replaced by Nunez against righties and replaced by Francisco against lefties. The results have been disappointing on offense, but encouraging on defense. Nunez has been a steady and occasionally terrific defensive player, but neither Nunez nor Francisco has been productive at the plate. It remains to be seen whether Nunez’s rib cage injury forces yet another replacement.
Alex Rodriguez
Hip surgery
Status: Beginning baseball activity
Replacement: Kevin Youkilis
For a while there, it seemed that the Yankees had a solid Rodriguez replacement in Youkilis who was hot and then cold until…
Kevin Youkilis
Bulging disc
Status: Epidural last week
Replacement: Jayson Nix/Lyle Overbay/Chris Nelson
Corban Joseph replaced Youkilis on the roster, but he never replaced Youkilis in the lineup. Instead, it’s been Nix (against right-handers) and Overbay (against lefties) getting those at-bats. The offensive results aren’t pretty. Nix has been good in the field — and he’s had some bright spots with the bat — but his overall offensive numbers are pretty bad, and they’re especially bad against right-handers. As for Overbay, he’s now playing first base against left-handers – which Youkilis was supposed to do – and has just three hits against lefties all season. It remains to be seen how much the Yankees use newly acquired Nelson to fill the Youkilis hole.
Francisco Cervelli
Broken hand
Status: Just had surgery
Replacement: Chris Stewart
At some point, Austin Romine might get a chance to take a substantial number of Cervelli’s at-bats, but at this point the catching job belongs to Stewart. Just when Cervelli was clearly emerging as the everyday guy, it’s now Stewart who’s started all but one game since the Cervelli injury. Girardi has made it clear that — for the time being — he intends to use Stewart as the regular behind the plate. Romine could earn additional playing time if he plays well, but Cervelli’s job has been handed to Stewart, and Stewart’s job has gone to Romine. It’s obviously worth noting that Stewart has been solid offensively.
Ivan Nova
Triceps inflammation
Status: Sent to Tampa
Replacement: David Phelps
Phelps broke camp in the Yankees rotation, but he didn’t make a single start before the team decided to rush Phil Hughes back from the disabled list to force Phelps back into a long relief role. Now that Nova is shut down, Phelps is back in the rotation. His first start of the year was promising at first — three scoreless innings — but it turned into a bit of a mess with a four-run fourth inning when Phelps uncharacteristically hit two batters, including one with the bases loaded. He’ll get another start this week in Denver, and Nova had been bad enough in April that it’s worth wondering if Phelps might still be a better option even after Nova’s healthy.
Joba Chamberlain
Strained oblique
Status: Added to DL on Thursday
Replacement: Preston Claiborne
Hard to say who’s going to replace Chamberlain in the seventh inning. Claiborne was called up to take his place on the roster, but filling Chamberlain’s role is probably going to require some combination of Claiborne, Shawn Kelley, Boone Logan and maybe Adam Warren. Really, the Chamberlain injury has shined a light on the vulnerability of a bullpen that’s been a pretty solid strength this season. The early expectation is that Chamberlain won’t miss a ton of time, but if he does, this is an opportunity for someone like Claiborne to emerge. Middle relievers are generally an unreliable bunch, so if someone gets hot for a while, it could make a difference and fill the void. If not, it could be messy.

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Stan the Man

With the baseball Hall of Fame voting (or lack there of) over and all the hand ringing regarding the fact that none of the nominees received enough votes for entrance continuing, the passing of Stan Musial should serve as a reminder of what a true Hall of Famer is.

I read what Buster Olney and Tim Kurkjian said about the PED boys Bonds, McGuire and Clemens and that's a debate for another time. It's the writers that vote for and try to justify entrance for player like Craig Biggio, Tim Raines and Jeff Bagwell that need to be reminded about Musial and his greatness.

Stan Musial was selected to the All Star team 24 times (a record). Stan Musial compiled 3,630 hits (4th all time, most with career on one team), he hit 475 home runs and was named MVP three times and won three world series championships. At the time of his retirement, he held or shared 17 major league records, and 9 All-Star Game records.

Three thousand hits, nearly five hundred home runs, three MVP's and three world championships. Now we are expected to welcome those listed above into the same club. Additionally, some writers voted Mike Piazza, Edgar Martinez, Larry Walker and Fred McGriff as Hall worthy.

Stan Musial/Craig Biggio....really? Stan Musial/Edgar Martinez...come on. Stan Musial/Fred McGriff...even their nicknames are no contest (the Man vs. Crime Dog).

For me Hall of Fame induction should be based on a couple factors:
1. Were you the best at your position in the league and era you played (i.e. all star, gold glove)?
2. Did you accumulate awards (i.e. MVP/Cy Young, batting title, etc.)?
3. Did you lead your team to the world series and/or have a noteworthy accomplishment (i.e. triple crown, no hitter, etc.)?

There were guys on this years ballot I liked a lot. They don't come better than Dale Murphy or Don Mattingly. Good players and good guys. They probably meet most of my induction criteria, but when compared to Stan Musial, sorry.

The notion that it was a bad thing no players were admitted this year needs to be dismissed. It a good thing that no one qualified, because outside of the PED guys, no one was qualified. Don't induct someone because they are the best of the rest, they must be the best of the best.

Missouri Governor Jay Nixon commented " Stan Musial was a great American hero who-with the utmost humility-inspired us all to aim high and dream big. The world is emptier today without him, but far better to have known him. The legacy of 'baseball's perfect warrior' will endure and inspire generations to come."

Who on this years list of candidates could inspire words like that ?




Tuesday, January 15, 2013

The Apple Doesn't Fall Far

Readers of this space probably think I am obsessed with USC Coach Lane Kiffin. The following will do little to detract from that notion. From time to time I have chronicled some of his more questionable decisions and actions. I suppose some of my interest is linked to trying to somehow rationalize the behavior of the son because of the reputation of the father.

Monte Kiffin is widely considered to be one of the preeminent defensive coordinators in modern football, as well as one of the greatest defensive coordinators in NFL history. The inventor of the widely imitated "Tampa Cover 2" defense, Monte Kiffin's philosophy is one of the most influential in modern college and pro football. The respect with which he is spoken of by colleagues makes me think I am missing something.

I remember in 1995 the Saints acquired Kiffin Sr. to run the defense. The fact he lasted only one year actually had me gain some respect for him. In '95 the Saints were a mess and I read his "one and done" as a pro's pro getting away from a rinky dink organization. Remember he went on to join Gruden in Tampa and there they won a Super Bowl.

So where am I going with this....remember the dilemma was how did a respected pro like Kiffin Sr. have a cry baby/cheater son like Lane. Like Paul Harvey said "Now the rest of the story."

In 1960, the NCAA placed the University of Oklahoma on indefinite probation, which prohibited the football team from participating in bowl games and appearing on television. The NCAA investigation revealed that Bill Jennings, a former OU player and assistant coach, had received funds for recruiting athletes between 1952 and 1954. Jennings had moved on to coach at Nebraska, denied receiving money from Arthur R. Wood, an Oklahoma City accountant and OU booster.

Wood admitted that he and Jennings collaborated to help recruit players for the football team in 1953, the money was to help defray travel expenses for prospective athletes. The NCAA proposed to drop the probation charges if Wood divulged financial details of the recruiting fund. Wood refused to reveal the details, stating that doing so would be professionally unethical.

In his book, Presidents Can't Punt, OU President Dr. George Cross wrote:"In the spring of 1958 the department of Intercollegiate Athletics received a phone call, a letter and a visit from a Nebraska high school athlete named Monte Kiffin, who expressed an interest in attending Oklahoma. Later, by invitation from the boy's parents, OU coaches visited with the family at his home." Legendary coach Bud Wilkinson, after the visit, said he had encouraged the boy to attend Nebraska.

"Wilkinson later received a letter from Jennings in which he said that if Kiffin enrolled at Oklahoma, it would be necessary for him, Jennings, to give information to the NCAA which he had withheld at the time of the investigation in 1954."

So the college football program, that owns the record for the longest winning streak, was put on probation for recruiting violations. Not an earth shattering revelation. However, that the center of this recruiting battle between two heavyweights was Monte Kiffin, is just too perfect. In one swipe a recruit got a little payola from the Sooners and the scholarship from the Cornhuskers. The hometown team got the player and the rival got probation.

I guess Lane learned from the best.

Thursday, January 10, 2013

College Football Conferences and TV Money

With the Bowl season behind us (told you Notre Dame was over rated) let's look at how the college football landscape will change for next season . Below are the conference members now and for the future. Below the chart are some thoughts on the role television plays in conference alignment.

                                 Conference Realignment for 2013

.
ACC Now
Future ACC
Big East Now
Future Big East
.
Boston College
Boston College
Cincinnati
Boise State
.
Clemson
Clemson
Louisville
Cincinnati
.
Duke
Duke
Pittsburgh
Connecticut
.
Florida State
Florida State
Rutgers
East Carolina
.
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech
Syracuse
Houston
.
Maryland
Louisville
Temple
Louisville
.
Miami
Maryland
UConn
Memphis
.
N.C. State
Miami
USF
Navy
.
North Carolina
N.C. State
Pittsburgh
.
Virginia
North Carolina
Rutgers
.
Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh
San Diego State
.
Wake Forest
Syracuse
SMU
.
Virginia
Syracuse
.
Virginia Tech
Temple
.
Wake Forest
Tulane
.
*Notre Dame (sorta)
UCF
.
USF
.
Big Ten Now
Future Big Ten
Big 12 Now
Future Big 12
.
Illinois
Illinois
Baylor
Baylor
.
Indiana
Indiana
Iowa State
Iowa State
.
Iowa
Iowa
Kansas
Kansas
.
Michigan
Maryland
Kansas State
Kansas State
.
Michigan State
Michigan
Oklahoma
Oklahoma
.
Minnesota
Michigan State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
.
Nebraska
Minnesota
TCU
TCU
.
Northwestern
Nebraska
Texas
Texas
.
Ohio State
Northwestern
Texas Tech
Texas Tech
.
Penn State
Ohio State
West Virginia
West Virginia
.
Purdue
Penn State
.
Wisconsin
Purdue
.
Rutgers
.
Wisconsin
.
C-USA Now
Future C-USA
MAC Now
Future MAC
.
East Carolina
Charlotte
Akron
Akron
.
Houston
East Carolina
Ball State
Ball State
.
Marshall
FAU
Bowling Green
Bowling Green
.
Memphis
FIU
Buffalo
Buffalo
.
Rice
Houston
Central Michigan
Central Michigan
.
SMU
Louisiana Tech
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan
.
Southern Miss
Marshall
Kent State
Kent State
.
Tulane
Memphis
Miami (Ohio)
Miami (Ohio)
.
Tulsa
MTSU
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois
.
UAB
North Texas
Ohio
Ohio
.
UCF
Old Dominion
Toledo
Toledo
.
UTEP
Rice
UMass
UMass
.
SMU
Western Michigan
Western Michigan
.
Southern Miss
.
Tulane
.
Tulsa
.
UAB
.
UCF
.
UTEP
.
UTSA
.
MWC Now
Future MWC
Pac-12 Now
Future Pac-12
.
Air Force
Air Force
Arizona
Arizona
.
Boise State
Boise State
Arizona State
Arizona State
.
Colorado State
Colorado State
Cal
Cal
.
Fresno State
Fresno State
Colorado
Colorado
.
Hawaii
Hawaii
Oregon
Oregon
.
Nevada
Nevada
Oregon State
Oregon State
.
New Mexico
New Mexico
Stanford
Stanford
.
San Diego State
San Diego State
USC
USC
.
UNLV
San Jose State
UCLA
UCLA
.
Wyoming
UNLV
Utah
Utah
.
Utah State
Washington
Washington
.
Wyoming
Washington State
Washington State
.
SEC Now
Future SEC
Sun Belt Now
Future Sun Belt
.
Alabama
Alabama
Arkansas State
Arkansas State
.
Arkansas
Arkansas
FAU
FAU
.
Auburn
Auburn
FIU
FIU
.
Florida
Florida
Louisiana-Lafayette
Georgia State
.
Georgia
Georgia
MTSU
Louisiana-Lafayette
.
Kentucky
Kentucky
North Texas
MTSU
.
LSU
LSU
South Alabama
North Texas
.
Mississippi State
Mississippi State
Troy
South Alabama
.
Missouri
Missouri
ULM
Texas State
.
Ole Miss
Ole Miss
Western Kentucky
Troy
.
South Carolina
South Carolina
ULM
.
Tennessee
Tennessee
Western Kentucky
.
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
.
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
.
WAC Now
Future WAC
Independents Now
Future Independents
.
Idaho
:(
Army
Army
.
Louisiana Tech
BYU
BYU
.
New Mexico State
Navy
Navy
.
San Jose State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame
.
Texas State
.
Utah State
.

  While the Big East scrambles to stave off its imminent collapse, whether it's by enticing Fresno State and UNLV to join up or begging UConn and Cincinnati to stay put, it can make no tangible promises because there's no TV dollars to back any such pledge.
Television money is the lifeblood of college sports - specifically college football, the second-most valuable property to television networks after the NFL. With the advent of DVRs and streaming services, sports is about the only thing left that can still deliver huge live audiences that advertisers crave. And that, in turn, brings in big bucks.
The Los Angeles Lakers signed a 20-year, $3 billion exclusive deal with the fledgling Time Warner Sportsnet, which commands a whopping $4 per subscriber fee and won a staredown with DirecTV. Just up the street, the Dodgers are expected to one-up that, with a new 25-year deal expected to be worth north of $6 billion. And then there's the mother of all monster deals - the NFL's next TV contract, scheduled to kick in for 2014, is worth about $5 billion annually.
College football has gotten in on the act, with the five major conferences each inking billion-dollar deals in the past two years. The annual payouts roughly go like this:
  • Pac-12: $250 million ($20.83 million per school)
  • Big Ten: $248 million ($20.67 million)
  • Big 12: $200 million ($20 million)
  • ACC: $240 million ($17.14 million)
  • SEC: $205 million ($14.64 million)
  • Notre Dame: $15 million
And please don't cry for the SEC, which is certain to renegotiate its current deal with CBS and ESPN before the next season and launch its own network by 2014. The new pact is expected to bring each SEC school more than $20 million per year.
So who's missing here? Yep, the Big East, the erstwhile member of the big boys' club that's about to get tossed out on its ear after the 2013 season.

The Big East was essentially done in by its own greed. In April 2011, the much-maligned former commissioner John Marinatto had a nine-year, $1.17 billion deal with ESPN on the table, which would've paid its full members about $13.8 million per season and the basketball-only schools $2.5 million. While it wasn't Big Ten money, it was more than commensurate with what the Big East was worth.

But the Big East presidents, including the ones in the "Catholic 7," rejected the deal, thinking they would be able to squeeze more out of it. Turns out, it was a gargantuan miscalculation that left the Big East in today's mess.

The Big East's current TV deal expires after this basketball season and the next football season. With the mass defections this past month, the value of that next contract is dwindling, and no network is all that eager to jump in to make a deal when more schools might abandon ship before long. The latest estimate has the conference getting about $40-$50 million per year - and that's assuming everybody stays put.

An optimistic model of $50 million yields a payout of about $4.17 million per year for the nine full members and $3.13 million per year for the four football-only schools (Boise State, San Diego State, East Carolina and Navy in 2015). It's dwarfed by the payouts in the major conferences, though it's still substantially more than what the Mountain West currently pays, which is around $1 million per school per year.

There is a tug-of-war between the remnants of the Big East and the MWC, vying to be the kingpin of the Group of Five in BCS 2.0. The Big East wants to continue to raid the MWC to pump up its value to potential TV suitors, while the MWC aims to lure Boise State and San Diego State back (though technically they haven't left yet). Both conferences would love to pick off BYU, but neither is likely to succeed because the Cougars are getting about $5-6 million per year from their own TV deal with ESPN as a football independent.

But the MWC apparently has gained the upper hand, according to reports Friday night. The conference's TV deal with CBS, which was to run three more seasons, is being redone as a make-good for the network's decision to shut down The Mtn. While terms of the new deal are undisclosed, its value would only increase if the Broncos decide to stay in the conference. That's why the MWC is now aggressively (re)-courting Boise State, which is clearly the kingmaker in the "Group of Five" universe though it must make a decision on its future soon.

As for the Big East, being demoted in the new BCS landscape is the lesser of its problems, as it's at risk to further disintegrate from more defections the longer it takes to lock down a TV deal. And if the worst-case scenario should happen - UConn and Cincinnati find new homes while Boise State and San Diego State get cold feet before next July - the Big East becomes Conference USA Lite, circa 2004. In that case, it should expect not much more than Conference USA money.

How much is that? C-USA signed its most recent TV deal in early 2011 with FOX and CBS, worth $14 million per year, total.

Reprinted from College Conference Realignment:The TV Money Game in 2013 by Samuel Chi in Sports Nation December 26, 2012